The spherical spaceship, which is 3 feet (one meter) diameter and weighs over 1,000 pounds (495 kg), will be the last component of Kosmos 482 to descend from the sky.
Within ten years, every other component fell apart. According to a United Nations agreement, Russia would own any remaining wreckage.
Using the most recent observations of this spacecraft, Dr. Marco Langbroek, an astronomer and satellite tracker at the Delft University of Technology, has estimated its potential fall location.
According to Dr. Langbroek’s earlier calculations, the landing module might affect any location between 52 degrees north and 52 degrees south latitude. Anywhere south of Milton Keynes, Ipswich, and Cambridge in the UK was at danger of being struck.
Dr. Langbroek has now been able to determine the route Kosmos 482 will follow as it descends and which cities it will pass over thanks to further measurements of its orbit.
Many densely populated locations may be at danger if this route is compared to a list of cities with a population of one million or more.