He said that he would provide his formal election forecast the following month, although most of Harris’s indicators point to her winning.
After the Democratic convention in August, I want to make my formal forecast, Lichtman stated on X. “View my evaluation of The Keys’ current position on the 13 Keys Tracker below.”
The lack of a primary opponent, the lack of danger posed by third-party candidates so far, and the long- and short-term strength of the economy are the factors that are providing Harris the edge.
The White House hasn’t changed its policies much since Harris was appointed, and there hasn’t been any significant civil unrest or controversy involving the vice president.
Lichtman pointed out that the Democrats have lost one advantage—the incumbency factor—since Biden was replaced as the front-runner last week by Harris.
The professor believes that because Harris and Trump will be competing, the contest is effectively over.
