“Biden’s withdrawal and Harris’s presumed nomination have a mixed effect,” he said. “However, it doesn’t significantly alter my conclusion that a lot of things would need to go wrong for the Democrats to lose.”
According to surveys, Harris is leading the presidential race, which is still very tight, according to Lichtman’s prediction.
Real Clear Politics reports that the average of the most recent polls has Trump up by fewer than two points.
Now that Biden has left the Democratic ticket, Trump and Harris are running a close fight in the polls from important battleground states.
However, as Lichtman pointed out, the most recent polls does indicate that Democratic excitement has increased. In recent days, Harris’s popularity has also increased since he was announced as the presumed presidential contender.
